Flow-Center Operating Overrides

Override backtest scorecard

Every manual override a shift leader made in this building last month, replayed against the building’s operating policy. The question the scorecard answers is how much of that judgment was already rule-shaped, and whether the overrides that fell outside the plan cost the stores reliability.

Backtest · no integration, no write access to any systemSource: seeded datasetPolicy flow-center-v1Run c16e6e2d-47e4-49cc-8746-9eeacaa77874

Synthetic dataset — 150 overrides, one building, one month (August 2026). Nothing here is customer data.

Headline

Rule-shaped share

50.0%

75 of 150 a rule could decide outright

Reliability delta

12.1%

out-of-policy miss rate minus in-policy

Escalation share

46.7%

70 would have gone to a leader

Blocked share

3.3%

5 broke a hard constraint

Reliability to stores

Rates are computed over the overrides that actually record an outcome, and each row carries that denominator. Where the policy would have allowed the override outright, the shift missed replenishment less often.

In-policy overrides

7.0%

replenishment miss rate · 5 of 71 recorded

On-time 98.3%

Out-of-policy overrides

19.1%

replenishment miss rate · 13 of 68 recorded

On-time 94.2%

Reliability delta 12.1% · on-time delta 4.2% in favour of the in-policy overrides.

Breakdowns

By decision type

Two types carry no rule in this policy version, so they escalate rather than being allowed by silence.

Decision typeOverridesAllowEscalateBlockRule-shapedReplenishment missOn-time
DOCK_ZONE_ASSIGNMENT18117061.1%18.8%97.0%
HOLD_OR_PUSH90720.0%22.2%93.4%
LABOR_REBALANCE523317263.5%18.4%96.7%
OVERTIME_AUTHORIZATION331814154.5%3.3%96.8%
PRIORITY_CHANGE1501500.0%8.3%94.3%
TRAILER_RESEQUENCE231310056.5%8.7%96.5%

By shift

Same policy, same building, across the three tours.

ShiftOverridesAllowEscalateBlockRule-shapedReplenishment missOn-time
day422314554.8%20.5%95.7%
night562729048.2%11.8%96.7%
twilight522527048.1%8.2%96.3%

By decider level

Role level only — the dataset carries no names and no employee identifiers.

Decider levelOverridesAllowEscalateBlockRule-shapedReplenishment missOn-time
L4491730234.7%13.0%95.8%
L5271413051.9%11.5%96.9%
L6432417255.8%12.8%96.0%
L7312010164.5%14.3%96.9%

Overtime

The only section of this report stated in dollars. Everything above is reliability to stores.

Authorizations

33

Within shift authority

23

Above shift authority

10

would have required L6

Dollars above authority

$48,617.00

of $75,199.00 authorized

See the 75 overrides that would have escalated or blocked →Download the verifiable CSVVerify a record150 signed records sealed on the replay chain